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■一名巴西示威者則高舉圖畫，譴責奧巴馬若動武，會殺死無辜民眾。 資料圖片
華府官員透露，已鎖定少於50個敘利亞政府軍事目標，最快今日（8月30日）內以戰斧巡航導彈實施攻擊，強調「有限度」軍事行動旨在「威懾與削弱」巴沙爾政權。敘利亞局勢急劇惡化，觸發新興市場撤資潮，環球股市昨日（8月29日）出現小股災。以美國為首的西方國家軍事攻敘可能導致推翻敘利亞政府的結果，凸顯所謂無意推翻巴沙爾政權說法自相矛盾。敘利亞在中東地區角色十分重要，一旦開戰無疑引爆中東火藥桶，地緣矛盾升溫，拖累全球經濟，尤其是嚴重衝擊國際原油市場，為全球金融市場蒙上陰影。
敘利亞危機率先點燃了市場藥引，全球金融市場首當其衝，昨日（8月29日）即觸發環球小股災。中東地區主要股市和貨幣固難倖免，亞洲主要股指收低，歐美股市亦身受其害，港股昨日（8月29日）亦受敘利亞局勢影響跟隨外圍下跌350點，見5周低位。印度和印尼近日跌勢也可能蔓延至巴西和土耳其等新興市場。敘利亞危機亦加深國際市場石油供應憂慮，推高油價。敘利亞局勢持續惡化，為正在復甦的全球經濟蒙上陰影，全球市場波動難免，加深了金融市場動盪不安的憂慮。
The whole world will fall victim to Western military actions against Syria
According to Washington officials, less than 50 sites in Syria had been listed as military targets and would be attacked by Tomahawk cruise missiles within today (August 30th) the latest. It was stressed that the aim of 烑imited * military action was to 洖eter and degrade* the Bashar al-Assad regime. However, the rapid deterioration of the situation in Syria had already triggered a series of withdrawals of funds from emerging markets. Stock markets around the world also experienced a small crash yesterday (August 29th). Any military action against Syria carried out by US-led Western countries will possibly end up toppling the Syrian government. This will simply expose the contradiction in the words and deeds of these Western countries who had claimed that they had no intention to overthrow the Assad regime. Syria plays a very important role in the Middle East. A war, once started, will inescapably ignite the powder keg in the region and cause geopolitical conflicts to escalate. Eventually, the global economy will suffer. The international crude oil market, in particular, will be seriously affected, casting a shadow over the global financial market.
The crisis in Syria had already ignited the ammunition fuse of a market fluctuation and financial markets around the world had to bear the brunt. Yesterday, 29 August, a small scale stock market crash was triggered. Not only were the major markets and currencies of the Middle East badly affected, major stock market indices in Asia also closed lower and markets in Europe and America as well suffered. Affected by the situation in Syria, the stock market in Hong Kong followed the plunge in external markets and dropped 350 points to a 5 week low. The recent plunge in India and Indonesia may also infect other emerging markets such as Brazil and Turkey. In addition, the Syrian crisis deepens concern about oil supply in the international market and so will cause the oil price to rise. The continuous deterioration of the Syria crisis is going to cast a shadow over the present rebounding global economy. Then, fluctuations in the markets around the world will be inevitable, and this will give rise to more worries over the volatility of the financial market. ■Tung-ming [ tungming23@gmail.com ]
（節自香港《文匯報》2013年8月30日）
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